It
would be a mistake to underestimate the political influence of those in the
West that think that it is time to teach the big neighbour a lesson. At the end
of the Cold War, many people lost centre stage as their specialised skills were
no longer in demand. They seem to be back now and with a strong sense of
opportunity. They want to seize the occasion. And things can then go pretty
far. More than ever, one should be aware of the different interests at play, on
every side. And fight for common sense to be again the guiding principle.
Leadership here means to be brave enough to contain a crisis that can become
out of control.
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