Beyond
the dreadful human dimensions, which are quiet visible as one watches the
living conditions in the “Jungle Camp”, as the site is called, the Calais
immigration crisis has a high economic cost and a strategic political impact.
On
the economic side, one should keep in mind the importance of the Calais
corridor. It is a vital exchange line between the UK and the European
Continent. Last year, about 2.5 million vehicles crossed the Channel carrying
goods back and forth. The current situation is causing a colossal trade loss to
the British economy: about £ 250 million a day. This is huge figure at a time
when economic recovery is still very fragile. Besides that, it is disrupting
local movements of people and goods on both sides of the Channel.
At
the political level, the crisis is damaging. It is not just a bloody nose on
the British or French faces. It basically sends the message that Paris and
London have no plan to deal with the situation. Sniffer dogs and additional
fences are not the most effective responses. They just leave the issue
unresolved. It writes on both political establishments a couple of very nasty
words: incompetence and irresoluteness. And, in many ways, both governments give
the impression that there is little coordination between them, besides some
joint photo opportunities.
The
problem will not fade away. It calls for decisive measures. The politicians
must take their responsibilities and lead the way.
But
they are not doing it. Thus, let me add a suggestion.
I see only one way forward: to legalise what
is at present unlawful. In this case, both governments would implement a major
police operation and round up the immigrants, all of them – nobody knows how
many they are, but the accepted figure comes to around 3,000. Then, the
authorities would take them to processing centres, to identify and summarily
check their backgrounds. The following stage would be to give the vast majority
of them permit papers and allow them to settle in. The UK would take the
greater number and other countries would accept the balance. This option would
show resoluteness combined with pragmatism and attention to social
considerations and the economic consequences of the status quo. It should be
combined with additional security measures aimed at slowing down future
arrivals in the region. More specifically, the authorities would put across very
clear messages stating that there is no way the illegal passage would be
allowed. Those attempting to do it could be arrested and swiftly deported.
I
have also looked at other options. But the above one stands out as the only sensible
approach at this stage. Everything else is either to be blind to a major issue of
great complexity or an attempt to transfer the problem to the neighbour.
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