So,
my guess of yesterday was wrong. The “quitters” won. And I felt a bit of fool
because I had reached that same conclusion long ago that Brexit would take
over. I thought so for a good deal of time and only changed my mind during the
very last stretch of the process, influenced I was by the bookmakers and the
financial analysts and other stock market gurus.
Well,
that´s how it is now.
But
one should raise the question, once again, about the professional competence of
the financial analysts. They are paid fortunes, they work in large teams, they
have all the information and techniques, and then they end up by messing up.
The
polls were also wrong. It was less surprising though as this was a vote of a
unique type and there were little past references to guide the extrapolations.
It´s
true that the score came as a big surprise. Many of my British friends were
simply shocked. They work in international places and could not understand the
choice made by the majority of the voters.
That´s
democracy.
Now,
the point is for the EU to prepare very well for the negotiations with the UK.
On the European side, it is important to have a clear understanding about the
EU´s interests and be resolute in their defence. It is also important to show
that this is a true and tough negotiation. The people in the different corners
of Europe have to see this discussions as exemplary.
It
is also critical to rethink the relationship between the EU institutions and
the citizens. It´s time to take this matter seriously, well beyond grandiloquent
declarations and be able to show that the institutions are dealing with the
issues that matter for the citizen. There is a need for narrow focus, good
communications and political courage.
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