Wednesday, 16 December 2015

EU meets on Brexit and clarifies nothing

There will be another EU summit here in Brussels tomorrow. This time the main course on the table should consist on the British future within the Union. 

UK Prime Minister Cameron wants the other European leaders to set the principles that will guide the bureaucrats’ work during the next couple of months as they will draft the response to Britain´s demands. He expects the leaders to be generous and therefore ready to support his views. Cameron thinks there is no way for his position not to be accepted. EU leaders want, in his opinion, to keep the UK in and will therefore cave in.

I think the leaders will indeed be soft on Cameron. Not because they agree with his exigencies. They actually think he is unreasonable. They will accept a softer line just because they are too distracted with their own national concerns and with other matters such as the common response to the refugee flows to be bothered at this stage by the British domestic politics.

And that´s a risk. In such matters the more you let the situation go undefined the greater the risk of later clashes. But this is the way the EU leaders do business at present. 

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