Kim
Jong-un is above all a provocateur. But a dangerous one, let's be clear. His
repeated provocations have created a very delicate situation in his part of the
world. And that's a complex region, at it's at the centre of fundamental
geopolitical and strategic interests of very powerful countries.
In
my opinion, he is not reading the current international situation with smart
eyes. Political circumstances have deeply changed. As the intelligence about
his most strategic means of power and military capabilities has also changed.
He
still believes that China will shield him from any military action coming from
outside. In addition, he is convinced that his threats of retaliation against
South Korea will discourage others from intervening in the North. He might have
a point. However, I am no longer sure that such point is strong enough.
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