Following
what I wrote yesterday about the national armies in some of the Sahelian
countries – that their low operational capacity is one of the key problems, on
top of their human rights shortcomings and other serious governance issues – I
was reminded by a friend of the example of Somalia. The international
community, including European resources, have been engaged in the country for a
long time with little results. Billions have been spent and many lives lost.
However, the terrorists are all over, including in the capital city. And the
national army, that we all have trained and keep repeating is essential to
solve the insecurity threats, has a fighting capacity that is estimated at 8%.
That means that almost everyone in the army is not prepared to fight an asymmetric
war and cannot collect the intelligence needed to crush the terrorist cells. Or,
there are two fundamental dimensions of any stabilisation project. They are not
enough but if they do not happen nothing else can be achieved.
That’s
why I keep repeating that we must look at these matters with frankness and be
clear about what is going on and what needs to change. If we fail to do it, if
we keep pretending and talk niceties, we will keep investing in the sand of
those vast deserts. We will be wasting resources and lives. And we will be
undermining the credibility of the international institutions and other players
that are operating in such contexts. Can’t we find the courage to shift our
approach?
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