Do you trust Donald Trump?

 The international system must be protected and respected

 Victor Ângelo 

There can be no doubt: the international values ​​and standards, built over the last few decades, remain valid and must be fully respected. Political leaders and henchmen who fail to do so engage in illegal, often criminal, behavior and as such need to be confronted. The notion of a Western or less Western world, that doesn't count for anything. What matters are the rules that regulate the universal framework. When voting in the same direction as North Korea, something that should be unthinkable, the important thing is to remember which side of the conventions is right.

There were great moments that allowed these principles to advance and consolidate. It would be cowardice, or at least a mistake, not to remember them and not to insist on their scrupulous fulfillment. I will now mention a particularly clear list regarding the progressive regulation of international relations since the end of the Second World War – the United Nations Charter(1945), the Universal Declaration of Human Rights (1948), the dozens of decolonisation and national independence processes in the post-war years and decades, the Vietnam War, the Helsinki Final Act (1975), which defined the rules of cooperation and security in Europe, including in the USA and Canada, the Geneva Conventions and Additional Protocols of 1949 and 1977 on humanitarian issues and the laws of conflict, the end of the Cold War and the dissolution of the Soviet Union (1991), the approval of the Rome Statute of 1998, which established the International Criminal Court (ICC), and also the Paris Agreement on Climate Change of 2015. Symptomatically, during all these years it has not been possible to reach a common platform on the fight against terrorism, a complex and highly politically sensitive issue.

Among political criminals there are unfortunately too many names that can be highlighted. This week, on the third anniversary of the start of Vladimir Putin's aggression against Ukraine, his criminal responsibility deserves special mention. Not forgetting, either, his most recent ally, Kim Jong-un, the villain who crushes the population of North Korea every day and threatens half the world and the other with his missiles. When we talk about these individuals and it is noted that the current US administration voted in the United Nations along these criminals, a terrifying question inevitably arises: what kind of world do they want to push us into?

The answer is anything but simple. But we must continue to insist on the normative dimension. International rules exist, and they must be followed. It is, however, worrying to see the G20 or the G7, and some dimensions of the United Nations system, which have functioned as pillars of international democracy and cooperation between peoples, being disrespected by traditional dictatorships together with the ruffians who are now emerging in the public square.

The international political architecture is at risk of collapsing. It is already in ruins in Palestine, for the dramatic reasons that are known. It could soon collapse during negotiations on Ukraine's sovereignty. It is practically impossible to believe in a just peace, when one thinks of the protagonists who have now entered the scene. They are on Putin's side, for incomprehensible reasons, perhaps personal, perhaps linked to past accounts, and with the – chimerical – pretext of obtaining a divorce between Russia and China. A part of the international defense system will also be at risk when the next NATO summit, scheduled for June 24-26, takes place in The Hague. And the most significant outcome will happen on September 22 and 23, when the General Assembly will meet to discuss the future of the United Nations. We will then see what proposals will be put on the table, at a time when the UN is a fragile target, disrespected by people like Netanyahu and little understood by the rich of this world.

I cannot fail to mention Emmanuel Macron's recent trip to Washington. He would have tried to give the Americans the impression that a good deal of the decision-making power is in his hands when it comes to the EU. I'm not sure he managed to convinced them, for three reasons. First, because Washington knows that Macron is struggling in France with a very serious national crisis. Macron is closer to the past than the future. Second, because the United Kingdom and Georgia Meloni, the Italian Prime Minister, have greater support in the White House. The new British ambassador to Washington, Peter Mandelson, a shrewd Labourite like his boss Tony Blair was years ago, will do everything he can to turn Donald Trump around. On the other hand, Trump has a special liking for Meloni. And she doesn't die of love for Macron. And third, and most crucially, because Trump hates the EU, as it became clear days after Macron's visit.

The Great Leader and his inconsistencies

Dear friend, peace is a very serious matter!

Victor Angelo

Anyone who reads or pays attention to what I say knows that I have an indescribable admiration for President Donald Trump. Once again this week the President did not disappoint me. Between two golf swings, at his extravagant estate in Florida, where Louis XIV would equally feel like the Sun King, and after a few hours in front of a giant television screen, he reminded us that according to his calculations, Volodymyr Zelensky's popularity among Ukrainian public opinion would be no more than 4%. This percentage dwarfs the 57% that the prestigious Kyiv International Institute of Sociology published on the same day. Trump did not mention the source of his data, nor does he need to.

Vladimir Putin would certainly agree with the percentage, as the source of such a lie. He, who has already stolen several elections, over more than two decades in power, in addition to his almost 16 years of training in the KGB, needs an affirmation like Trump's, which makes him forget his misdeeds. And if his lies are amplified by the US President, they will have a unique weight among the Russian public opinion.

At the same press conference, President Trump took as his own the conditions and the red lines that Putin has been repeating for the past three years. No to Ukraine's accession to NATO. Yes to the usurpation of Ukrainian territory by Russia. Replacing President Zelensky with a leader subordinate to the Kremlin, thus transforming the country into a vassal state of Moscow, in the style of Belarus. Reform of the defense architecture of democratic Europe in order to transform NATO into a disoriented, fearful mongrel incapable of opposing the imperialist ambitions of the Russian bear. Recognize that Eastern and Central Europe are part of the geopolitical zone of influence of the Russian Federation. End of the sanctions, to put Russia back in the economic position of a major supplier of raw materials, a sort of luxury Congo that enriches those who control the extractive sectors and allows them to subsidize vodka for the rest of the population and corrupt the armed forces. And to put the cherry on the cake, Trump just repeated what the fugitive Putin has been saying repeatedly: that Zelensky is a dictator, a president without an electoral mandate.

If it weren't for my foolish admiration for the indescribable, I would say that Trump's words are an earthquake followed by a tsunami. How can one hope to hold free and fair elections in Ukraine, the victim of a terrible war of aggression, when the troublemaker next door is sending hundreds of bombs and troops day and night with the aim of destroying the neighboring country?

The great leader is very good at echoing Putin. Likewise, when the intention is to confuse or intervene in the home of allies. He calls the acceptance of the main conditions imposed by the enemy a peace plan. This is what happened in the deal with the Taliban terrorists in 2020, when everything was negotiated by Trump's team without the participation of the Kabul government and the allies who fought for years in Afghanistan alongside the Americans.

We are in a period of great confusion. So, don't be surprised when I write that I also have a  great admiration for Volodymyr Zelensky. Three years after the start of the criminal Russian aggression, and despite the limited means at his disposal, he continues to enjoy the support of his fellow citizens and a rare international prestige. He has shown exemplary determination, foresight and courage. He reminds us that Ukraine is resisting with patriotism and cunning against the violence of a much stronger neighbor, which has been violating for years the basic rules of international law: respect for Ukraine's sovereignty, territorial integrity and the prohibition of the use of force.

My admiration for the Ucranian leader also comes from the truth that President Zelensky imprints on each of his words. He emphasizes that there will be no peace without the agreement of the Ukrainians. That he can say no to Trump who wants an absurd compensation: 500 billion dollars in rare minerals to compensate for the military and other budgetary aid that, so far, does not exceed a small part of that value, only about 20%: what a great deal! And to have the courage to affirm that his country relies on Europe, whose aid already amounts to 132 billion euros, much of it spent on purchasing American military equipment. A much higher volume of cooperation coming from Europe, but with the US corporations benefiting from it, in the arms and ammunition trade.

Next week, Keir Starmer and Emmanuel Macron will travel to Washington. I believe it will be a well-intentioned, diplomatically understandable, but useless move. It can even be humiliating for both of them. The future of Europe belongs to the Europeans. In the current context, we must play on this side of the ocean and without delay. And those who don't have a dog, hunt with a cat.