Syria has very much disappeared from the radar screen of
international affairs. The “July Conference” is like July itself: no more! The
EU and the US seem to have concluded that Assad is not moving out of power. In
addition, the Syrian opposition they could work with is more divided than ever.
Turkey, on the other hand, after its own domestic social unrest, has cooled
down its enthusiasm to play a bigger role in the neighbourhood. And Qatar and
Saudi Arabia keep moving apart, with divergent interests at play.
Assad is therefore keeping the moment and the initiative. He
knows that time and the mood in the international community are favourable to
his aims. He might be ruling the ruins of a country, but he will be in power.
For a tyrant, this is the best insurance he can get. It is better to be in
charge of a cemetery than to be in the uncertainty of exile.
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