Digital activism in a framework of uncertainty
Victor Ângelo
I participated this week in a webinar
about "Internet and Geopolitics". The question at the centre of the
debates was very direct: is a global, universal, and open internet possible?
The question came from civil society
associations that militate for digital freedom. And they follow the line of the
United Nations: in June 2020, António Guterres proposed a Roadmap for Digital
Cooperation, with the aim of achieving that by the end of the decade every
person can access the internet at a minimum cost and without obstacles.
The reality is very different. At this
moment, there are two parallel digital universes. The international one,
essentially North American, built around platforms that are part of our
everyday life. And the Chinese, a reproduction of the Western constellation. We
can subscribe to the Chinese platforms, but the residents of China do not have
access to the international networks, which are blocked by Beijing. So, the
answer to the central question can only be negative. Access to the internet is,
in autocratic regimes, limited or banned for political reasons.
Beyond calls for multilateralism, new
'silk routes' and progress in communications and transport, we are moving fast
towards a historical phase of fragmentation and open rivalries between blocs of
countries. In the digital area, this competition centres on the issues of
artificial intelligence, data clouds, cybersecurity, espionage, competing
political narratives and surveillance of citizens.
Those in power, whatever they may be,
increasingly use social media to influence public opinion, manipulate political
discourse and create an interpretation of reality that is favourable to them.
Donald Trump has excelled in this art. Today, Narendra Modi is the incumbent
leader who is followed by the largest number of people, some 175 million. Modi
knows that images attract attention if they are intuitive, dynamic, colourful,
and empathetic. In Portugal, António Costa has around 266,000 followers on
Twitter. It's not much, but in our country, what continues to weigh is the
frequent presence on free-to-air television channels. President Zelensky's
official Twitter account has 6.2 million subscribers. The Ukrainian leader has
demonstrated a remarkable capacity for communication through digital media.
As a curiosity, note that Cristiano
Ronaldo has around 445 million followers on Instagram, Lionel Messi 329 million
and Khaby Lame, an Italian influencer of African origin, is followed by 136
million via TikTok. What would happen if one of them launched into political
activism?
As for the confrontation with Russia,
it seems clear to me that it will contribute to the deepening of geopolitical
fractures. Nobody knows how the war of aggression against Ukraine, or the huge
crisis triggered between Russia, the United States and the various NATO
countries will evolve. However, it is clear that we are still on an escalation
course, in a highly complex and exceptionally worrying context. On the one
hand, it is not acceptable to systematically violate the international order,
as defined in the United Nations Charter, nor to disrespect with impunity the
institutions that are the pillars of peace and security, such as the
International Court of Justice. Nor is it acceptable that international law,
the basis of relations between states, should no longer apply to the major
powers, giving primacy instead to their geostrategic interests, in the old
concept of force as the main lever of power. On the other hand, there is a very
serious risk of a new, large-scale, global confrontation.
In this context, my suggestion is
simple: civil society can use the digital platforms to tip the balance towards
the side of law, moderation, and peace. And start by promoting international
agreements on cyber non-aggression to critical infrastructures, essential for
the daily life of every citizen.
(Automatic
translation of the opinion piece I published in the Diário de Notícias, the old
and prestigious Lisbon newspaper. Edition dated 27 May 2022)
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