In the Sahel, a lot of military and little politics
Victor Angelo
The
call came from Bamako. On the other end of the line was a former colleague, now
back home after a brilliant career in the United Nations. The essence of his
conversation was against the massive presence of foreign troops in his country.
There are more and more of them, both in the framework of the UN mission -
known by the acronym MINUSMA - and due to calls by France. Contrary to recent
statements by Emmanuel Macron, who said that the war against terrorism in the
Sahel was being won, my friend told me about the deterioration of the situation
in Mali and in neighbouring countries. In other words, there are more military
personnel but, paradoxically, less security.
Let
us look at the latest statistics from the International Organization for
Migration. They count about 1.7 million displaced persons due to instability
and armed actions in this part of the Sahel, especially in the tri-border area
between Mali, Niger, and Burkina Faso - a region known as Liptako. It is
estimated, on the other hand, that about seven thousand lives were lost in the
last twelve months due to acts of terrorism and counterterrorist prevention and
response operations. These are figures well above the average of previous
years. What is more, a recent United Nations investigation shows that war
crimes and atrocities have been committed in Mali since 2013. The report, which
in addition to pointing the finger at terrorists calls into question the armed
forces of certain states, has fallen into a deep hole in the Security Council
and awaits debate at the Greek calends.
Liptako
is a vast territory, with an area where Portugal could fit three times over.
The Fulas, as nomadic herdsmen and itinerant traders in long caravans, have
traditionally shared these dry, harsh expanses with other ethnic groups. But
ways of life have changed. Accelerated population growth in recent decades,
coupled with enormous pressure from cattle rearing - a multiplication of herds
-, increasingly irregular and scarce rainfall due to climate change, poverty
and the absence of effective state administration have contributed to a
widespread environment of social instability, rebellion and conflict. The rush
for gold, which began to be exploited intensively on an artisanal basis some
twenty years ago, has also attracted new waves of violence. This is the
framework in which various armed gangs move and operate under the confused
banners of the terrorist network of the Islamic State in the Greater Sahara (ISGS)
or, further north, on the way to the border with Algeria, the people affiliated
to Al-Qaeda. Religious fanaticism serves as an excuse or muddles along with
banditry. For many young people, the Kalashnikov has replaced the shepherd's
stick or the farmer's hoe in a context that is becoming progressively more
arid, unpredictable, and dangerous. Someone from the region told me that
joining an armed group is for many an act of self-protection.
There
is a huge problem here that fundamentally requires two types of approach: one
will be political and the other will be to combat desertification and poverty.
I will mention only the political part, which requires the inclusion of all,
without discrimination on ethnic grounds. It also means publicly showing a firm
hand against corruption, in military institutions and state administrations.
Inclusion and probity are two fundamental issues, which must be resolved by
national elites.
The European partners have closed their eyes
and pretended not to see these problems. For example, they have been training
officers in the Malian armed forces for years, knowing fully well that these
officers have kept a tribal mentality and systematically divert resources
intended for the country's stabilisation effort to their own advantage. We need
to change the way we act in the Sahel. Dialogue with the countries in the
region must be respectful. The future that is at stake is theirs, independently
of the external dimensions. We cannot take the direction of the process away
from them. Being more papist than the Pope in other people's land is a practice
that must be put away once and for all, in a drawer of the past. But it must be
a frank dialogue.
(Automatic translation of the opinion piece I published today in the
Diário de Notícias, the old and prestigious Lisbon newspaper)
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