Russia´s
latest actions in Syria have confirmed my thesis as well as the opinion piece I
publish today in the Portuguese weekly magazine Visão. Vladimir Putin´s goal is
to keep Bashar al-Assad in charge. He thinks that the Damas man is the best bet
in terms of safeguarding the Russian naval and air bases in the country. He
also believes that there is no good replacement for Assad at this stage. He fully
understands Assad´s limitations but he sees no other actor in a position to do better.
Putin is afraid of a greater chaotic situation if his protégé falls. Therefore,
he is ready to fight for him. But Putin is also a realist. He knows that sooner
or later someone else has to be found. He is certainly looking for such a
potential leader…
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