As
we consider the year ahead, and keep in mind the way some leaders behave, we
should expect some shocks. These are unpredictable times. One must watch the key
radar screens all the time. That means to keep a very attentive eye on people
with real power, from Donald Trump to Xi Jinping, without forgetting Vladimir
Putin and Recep Tayyip Erdogan, or even Narendra Modi, Imran Ahmed Khan, Kim Jong-un,
and a handful of players in the Middle East.
Power
games, deception and confrontation seem to be the main lines of inspiration in
today’s international affairs. They make the world a dangerous place once
again. It would be a serious mistake not to recognise the existing threats to
peace and stability.
The
response ought to be based on moderation, respect for the values that have been
accepted in the last decades and speaking truth to power. To remain silent at
this stage would be unacceptable. 2020 calls for strong and balanced views.
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