Libya´s
internal situation calls for enhanced international support. The EU leaders
need to engage the Libyan authorities and make clear they are ready for a much
stronger and more coordinated partnership with the country. Institution
building and the restoration of state authority are key priorities. The
international assistance should focus on them. And recognise that a chaotic
Libya at the doorstep of Europe and in the margins of the Sahel is a major
threat to our stability and to the security of the very fragile African states
that are in the vicinity.
Tuesday, 19 November 2013
Monday, 18 November 2013
Again on Israel and its neighbours
Following
my post of yesterday about Israel and Iran, I got call this afternoon from a
friend who is also very close to Prime Minister Netanyahu. The caller had just
arrived from Israel. And I could notice two things: the country´s leadership is
very unhappy with the way the Obama team is looking at Iran´s nuclear issue;
they can´t understand why people in Washington are so eager to strike a deal
with the Iranians; and then, the second point concerns Israel´s believe they
will be able to take military action against the nuclear facilities in Iran and
get the tacit but firm approval of many in the Middle East, including the
Saudis. This is actually encouraging the hard liners in Jerusalem to go for the
bombing.
All
this adds instability and unpredictability to a region that is already in deep
turmoil. It´s not good at all!
Labels:
Iran,
Israel,
Middle East,
Muslim world,
Netanyahu,
Obama,
Saudi Arabia,
Shia,
Sunni Arabs,
US
Sunday, 17 November 2013
Israel and Iran
It
would be a mistake to underestimate Israel´s strategic interests as we get
closer to the next round of negotiations with Iran.
The
country´s leaders see Iran as a major threat.
They
will try everything – including in the Capitol Hill in Washington – to make sure
that the pressure on Tehran is not eased out. And in their tricks box, there is
the menace of unilateral military action against the nuclear installations in
Iran. The public mentioning by the Israelis of such a possibility is in itself
a way of convincing Washington that an agreement with Iran is only good if it
is a lose-win accord.
And that is not possible, as I see it, because
no leader in Tehran will accept an agreement that looks like a defeat.
Saturday, 16 November 2013
Barroso´s final months
Barroso
has now said, in a TV interview, he is not seeking a new mandate as President
of the European commission. His mandate ends in October 2014.
This
is a smart move. He has been facing serious opposition from different quarters.
Everything started with former French President Sarkozy, who towards the end of
his presidency had come to dislike Barroso. People thought that would change
with Hollande´s investiture. That has not been the case. Actually, Hollande
became an open opponent of many of the EC President´s initiatives. And other EU
leaders have also gained cold feet. So, as Barroso announces he will be out of
the way in less of a year´s time he gets some free space to make a couple of
bold proposals. During the next few months, he will keep an eye on history and
will try to strike an initiative that will be for many years associated with
his name.
This
might also be a chance to see a stronger head of the EC. Europe needs to hear
more than a few rumblings.
Friday, 15 November 2013
The Commonwealth and the atrocities
The
Sri Lankan government is hosting the 2013 Commonwealth Summit.
The
choice of Sri Lanka as this year´s organising nation has been deeply criticised
in many quarters in view of the recent atrocities carried out by the Colombo leaders
against Tamil civilians in the Northern tip of the country. It has also been
perceived as an example of poor judgement, a feature that many believe is the
defining trait of the current Commonwealth Secretary-general, Kamalesh Sharma,
an Indian diplomat that has made a career under the protection of Sonia Gandhi
and her party. But Sharma is above all too tired and just interested in staying
in London as long as possible. He has very little influence and no strength of
will. That´s what the Sri Lankans knew and took advantage of. And now, they are
trying to make a lot of mileage out of the summit.
I
think they made a mistake. President Mahinda Rajapaksa of Sri Lanka thought he
and his friends would come out of this initiative cleansed. However, the
meeting is actually reminding the international public opinion that thousands
of innocent people were slaughter by the national armed forces in 2010, at the
end of the civil war. And that took
place under the direct responsibility of Rajapaksa and the rest of the clique.
Thursday, 14 November 2013
Comprehensive peacekeeping operations
Yesterday
we had a discussion here in Brussels among international staff about
peacekeeping.
My colleagues, who are well informed and widely travelled people,
could not avoid the usual mistake in this type of discussions: to reduce
peacekeeping to military operations, boots on the ground and many of them for
that matter. They forgot, like many do, the important role Police play in peace
support operations. I had to remind them that more and more often the security
challenges these missions are facing have more to do with Police work than with
soldiers ‘work. The UNPOL, for instance, has become in the last few years a
major Police division in the UN Secretariat. It is also an example of the UN´s
capacity to adapt to new demands.
And
then beyond the Police, there are now thousands of civilian experts equally
involved in peacekeeping.
Their contributions in many areas make the current
operations multidimensional and more comprehensive.
Wednesday, 13 November 2013
The capital of Europe is a little village at heart
Belgacom,
the Belgian telecommunications giant, could not protect us, the subscribers in
Brussels, from an illegal intrusion into our accounts by the British espionage
services. The GCHQ, the UK agency that spies on communications networks, has
been able to gladly penetrate the Belgacom systems and extract all the
information they deemed useful for their masters in London.
Why
should one be surprised? I live in a street that is considered “very fine”. Notwithstanding that I have a weak internet
signal. Today, the Belgacom technician came to check, at my request – a request
that was made two weeks ago and dutifully booked then to be implemented today.
He told me that the line for my house derives from a box some 80 metres away.
That´s not bad, I thought. But he added that the fellows that laid down the
cables went around the block before reaching my house. Therefore, it was no
longer an 80 metres journey but a long trek through the side and back streets.
That explains why my signal is not strong enough.
He
promised me they would now bring a straight line from the box to my place.
When, I do not know. But soon, I am told.
I
asked him about fibre cables. The answer I got was very clear. Belgacom has now
approved the implementation plan to lay the fibre things. But he is now sure
about the starting date of the up-dating.
Well,
this is the EU capital. But I think they have not yet realised that at the
telecomm company. Another proof of it is that we have no Al Jazeera in our
channel list, I mean, no access to that key TV channel in English. If I want to
watch it, it is in my room… in Arabic!
Recently
I told this story to my friends in Foreign Affairs in Oslo. They couldn´t
believe that a place like this one cannot access the English version of Al
Jazeera. But they have to understand: Brussels keeps, in many ways, the
features of a small town. And that is charming! And frustrating, as well!
Tuesday, 12 November 2013
The Armed Forces and the humanitarian response
I
wrote yesterday that the response to the typhoon disaster in the Philippines
calls for a deep involvement of the Armed Forces, both from the country and
from outside – US, Australian, Malaysian, Indonesian, etc. The magnitude of the
logistical challenges, particularly airlifting of assistance, can only be met
by means available within the military. No civilian humanitarian organisation,
including the UN, can gather the operational means it takes to bring food
and shelter to the large number of victims, some of them in very remote areas.
Some
of my humanitarian friends do not like the idea of having the soldiers
implicated in humanitarian operations. And a couple of them told me they had
serious issues with my post of yesterday. But my answer is very simple: this an
extreme situation that fully justifies a very close collaboration between the
humanitarian agencies and the Armed Forces. Thousands of lives are at stake and
need urgent help. They can only get it if the cooperation takes place. No
doubt about it.
And
we have no time to waste on doctrinal issues. This is a time to move fast and
effectively.
Monday, 11 November 2013
Haiyan´s response is too slow
The
international response to Super Typhoon Haiyan is rather slow and surprisingly
modest at this stage. One of the reasons seems to be related to lack of
leadership on the side of the international community. Every player is going
about it on its own. There is no recognised leader, no visible coordinator of
efforts.
The
world emergency response mechanisms should be better prepared to tackle this type
of major crisis. And apparently they are not.
Logistics
are also a key shortfall. This is also very surprising. In the region there are
major armed forces capabilities that could be mobilised to provide the
logistical support. Actually, they are the only ones that have the vast operational
means that are required to urgently assist the populations. Why is it not
taking place?
Sunday, 10 November 2013
Haiyan and the international cooperation
Super
Typhoon Haiyan has caused a major humanitarian disaster in the Philippines. I
would like to see the EU emergency response machinery to be fully mobilised to
provide assistance without any further delay. And to do so in close
coordination with the UN.
Then,
on a second phase, the donors should meet with the Manila government and be
prepared to fund an extensive reconstruction and investment programme to
rehabilitate and strengthen the resilience of the areas affected by the
disaster.
You
react to this by telling me I believe in a better world. Yes, I do. Enhancing
international cooperation in situations like this is key step towards that
world.
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